Rice is a crucial staple for over half the global population and the world is bracing for its most significant shortage in 20 years.
“The only shortage out there right now would really be India’s plain, white, long grain, poor quality rice that they ship to a lot of countries throughout Africa and Southeast Asia,” Peter Bachmann, vice president of policy and government affairs, told CNBC. “And when they slap a ban in place, that impacted those developing countries the hardest and first.”
First, India banned exports of broken rice and imposed a 20% duty on exports of some rice varieties in September 2022.
Then, in July 2023, India banned exports of its plain, white, long-grain rice.
“India is a country that has suffered from food insecurity in a significant way, so there’s an understandable desire to ensure appropriate availability of staple foods like rice within the country,” Will Fletter, vice president of operations and strategy at ClimateAI, told CNBC.
“But there’s a trade-off to that.”
India’s rice exports make up 40% of the market, so any export bans quickly influence global prices.
Rice prices spiked 15% to 20%, hitting their highest in almost 12 years, according to the International Food Policy Research Institute.
“[India is] trying to secure enough rice in their domestic markets so their prices will drop for consumers,” Bachmann said.
Part of the problem is that despite facing the same rising input costs for energy and fertilizer, in comparison to other agricultural commodities, market prices for rice stayed relatively stable.
U.S. rice farmers face the same volatile rice prices.
“Our farmers, they’ll go up against any rice farmer,” Michael Klein, vice president of communications and domestic promotion at USA Rice, told CNBC. “But, they can’t compete with the foreign government.”
When U.S. rice farms struggled to stay profitable as global rice prices mismatched with rising input costs, Congress passed $250 million in supplemental funding.
“These programs exist just to stop these farmers from falling through the cracks because that would be a huge disaster,” Klein said.
Watch the video above to learn more about how global rice prices are threatening affordable food, trade relationships and the livelihoods of millions of farmers.